Showing posts with label evolution. Show all posts
Showing posts with label evolution. Show all posts

October 22, 2007

Origins of Creative Genius

My modest proposal took me largely by surprise. I was trying to write about ‘general creativity,’ but didn’t like any of the results. My failed efforts eventually degenerated into introspective, ironic, circular little jokes; the essay turned into a story about itself – an ‘auto-bibliography’ as I sometimes call it – that had nowhere to go.

Then I accidentally stumbled upon Seth Godin’s post, which became both encouragement and subject matter for the self-deprecating attitude I worked myself into. And a few hours later, I had produced something totally unexpected.

Such accidents are not unusual; they seem to be the source of creativity. A lot of research has focussed on this ‘chance’ element of creative success in art and science. UC Davis psychologist Dean Keith Simonton specializes in this aspect of creativity, most notably in his 1999 book, Origins of Genius: Darwinian Perspectives On Creativity. Building on the work of psychologist Donald Campbell, Simonton compares the creative process to the chance variations and natural selection of Darwinian evolution.

Simonton’s most radical claim is that the quality of creative output is directly correlated with quantity: the creators with the most successes are simply those with the highest productivity, or who make the most attempts (so they often produce far more failures as well).

Another characteristic of creative individuals is a peculiar kind of egotism. As Simonton says, characteristics like "ego-strength" and self-discipline "enable creators to exploit the strange ideas that fill their heads without allowing those ideas to take over the organization of their personality." Creative geniuses aren’t afraid of risky and untested ideas, nor are they afraid of the social embarrassment and isolation that might follow their (virtually inevitable) failure.

A perfect example of this is Frank Gehry, the great architect who designed the Bilbao Guggenheim Museum, the Walt Disney Concert Hall in LA, and the Experience Music Project in Seattle. I just watched the 2006 documentary, Sketches of Frank Gehry, made by his friend and Academy Award winning director, Sidney Pollack. (I highly recommend this movie to anyone interested in creativity.) One clip has the Guggenheim Foundation's Director, Thomas Krens, talking about Gehry’s ego, or rather, "the biggest ego in the business": "Instead of reacting negatively to criticism, he’ll basically say the reverse of what you might expect someone with a big ego to say – ‘Let’s just rip it apart and start again’ – because he knows that when he does it for the second time, he does it from a higher plane of knowledge, it’s a second opportunity to do that. Now that’s real ego."

It is perhaps because of that confidence that creative people are willing to make risky long-term investments in their original projects and ideas. In their 1995 book, Defying the Crowd: Cultivating Creativity in a Culture of Conformity, psychologists Robert Sternberg and Todd Lubart described creative people as "investors" who know how to "buy low and sell high": "Creators generate ideas that are like undervalued stocks (stocks with a low price-to-earnings ratio), and both the stocks and the ideas are generally rejected by the public."

To put it very succinctly, we can describe creative people as being "open to experience," and having "a disposition that includes a diversity of interests and hobbies, a preference for complexity and novelty, and a tolerance of ambiguity."

What distinguishes Simonton’s work is that he focusses on the importance of chance variations that occur in creative thought processes – those unforseen moments of ‘inspiration’ – which emerge from changing, multiform associations of ideas. One of the book’s strengths is the number of examples of this tendency Simonton provides, mainly in the form of autobiographical reports accounts by scientists like Einstein, Poincare, Helmholtz, and Darwin himself.

Another example of this characteristic is given in the one of the best moments in Sketches of Frank Gehry. Pollack was fortunate to have access to Gehry’s psychoanalyst (!), who suggested that "there's something in there, in that right brain, that allows him to take those free associations, and then make them into practical realities."

Of course, it isn't enough just to generate wild and random ideas. Creative geniuses spend years (usually about ten) gaining enough "domain-relevant knowledge and skills," to be able to recognize and capitalize on their novel ideas. To make this point in another article, Simonton quoted Louis Pasteur, who said, "chance favours the prepared mind." Another expert on creativity, Howard Gruber, has referred to this as generating a "network of enterprise."

I think it’s important (in case you’re inclined to make further reflection of this notion) not to overestimate the novelty of these ideas about "associations"; they’re among the oldest in psychology – arguably older than the field itself. (In case you see this as obvious, and you’re wondering who could be so stupid... me. And I’m a bit miffed that this stuff never came up in the three university psych courses I took.) Philosophers promoted "associationist" doctrines of mind before psychology was even a profession, and William James devoted an entire fifty-five page chapter to association in his monumental Principles of Psychology, published in 1890.

James included a brief history of the doctrine, tracing it from Thomas Hobbes through David Hume, up to James’s friend and sometime intellectual sparring partner, Shadworth Hodgson, who was the first to outline a non-atomistic theory of association (or "redintigration") in 1865 – which I’m tempted to think of as a prototype for "quantum" theories of mind.

And the Darwinian approach to association is nothing new either; the notion of natural selection was almost immediately taken up by philosophers like Herbert Spencer (who, incidentally, also coined the term "survival of the fittest") to enlighten or explain cognitive processes. James did the same; in fact he pointed out that Spencer's theory wasn't Darwinian enough. In Darwin and the Emergence of Evolutionary Theories of Mind and Behavior, Chicago historian Robert J. Richards summarizes James’s correction of Spencer, telling us James believed that "the novel ideas produced by men of genius – and ourselves on occasion – were not due to direct adaptations," but rather "sprang up in the mind as spontaneous mental variations..."

Simonton also cites Sarnoff Mednick’s "remote association theory." Simonton says that creative geniuses use "flat associative hierarchies," which he has explained elsewhere as meaning "that for any given stimulus, the creative person has many associations available, all with roughly the equal possibilities of retrieval." This is opposed to the "steep associative hierarchies" of less creative people, in which ideas are more likely to associate with a smaller selection of similar and familiar ideas.

We can find something much like this concept in Hodgson’s work as well. Although from Hodgson we get perhaps a better account of uncreative thought processes: "people who have few or weak interests are decided predominantly in their redintigrations [or associations] by habit; those who have many or powerful interests have redintigrations of more variety and more apparent originality. Interest is the source of what is called character... interests, if at once few and powerful, have a tendency to coincide with habit, for then they both run in the same groove; it becomes a habit to feel certain interests; and the same series of redintigrations revolves day after day, unless the objects of presentation are usually new and various, as for instance in travelling."

Of course, Hodgson and James weren’t talking about "creativity" as we know it today, because the concept was still being formed in their time. Through most of history, creation has been viewed as an act of God. Our notion of the "creative person" is a product of five hundred years of humanizing and democratizing progress (which, I believe, is still in the making): inspired by great artists, writers, and designers; enabled by new technologies, from the printing press to the web; validated by scientific discoveries, notably those in the young field of psychology, not to mention Charles Darwin; facilitated by changes in politics and the emergence of global commerce; and articulated by philosophers from Descartes, Locke, Smith, Kant, and whoever has the courage to tackle these complex and ambiguous notions today.

The world I see now is one in which all of these factors – art, science, technology, commerce, and civics – have become closely integrated, almost unified in some aspects, like communications. The one that seems the most absent now is philosophy. Perhaps this is because philosophy is par excellence the domain which progresses on the backs and in the minds of creative geniuses – autonomous iconoclasts, multi-disciplinary adventurers, and unconventional risk-takers – while our age is structured to promote safe, conventional, normal, and methodical productivity, even when it’s framed and sold as "creativity."

The web, obviously, is a major cause of this; that’s the focus, or "head," where the different faces of creativity are increasingly fused together. The web is a civic domain because it has very quickly become part of the infrastructure of our everyday lives; the web is a scientific domain because it is still in a process of discovery, it’s still evolving through experimental trial and error; the web is an artistic domain because it is created and designed by people; and the web is a commercial domain because corporate organizations seem to be the most effective means of managing these diverse elements.

Despite all of the criticism thrown at large corporations for being slow and stodgy, commercial enterprise in general has an astonishing ability to adapt and grow. Every year, thousands of entrepreneurial startups – think of them as "chance variations" – come into the world, becoming either "selected" to thrive or reabsorbed back into the raw material from which new associations may emerge.

Some of the most successful companies, such as Google (itself a chance variation not too long ago), "recreate" this evolutionary process on a smaller scale within themselves, encouraging employees to suggest original ideas, which are then either selected (or more often, not) by objective tests and trials. (Stanford’s Robert Sutton is one of the best researchers and writers on this kind of organizational creativity. See his recent blog post on 'rewarding failure,' which cites Simonton’s Origins of Genius.)

And with professional schools in business, design, and engineering adapting to this new general-creative attitude, even in just the past decade, our appreciation for how to motivate, manage, and reward creative work has improved greatly. Business people are learning to "think like designers" and more creative-minded people are pursuing careers that were formerly in the traditional domain of business.

But is all of this draining the creativeness out of "creativity"? What are the implications for genuinely unconventional and autonomous creators? How might deeply creative people distinguish themselves, when so many others claim and aspire to be creative, aping the rhetoric and manner of creativity as a way to conform with the current attitude of business, making such notions quite conventional and unoriginal?

Art, science, commerce, and civics have become so regulated and methodical that there is little space for genuine creativity to stretch out and thrive in original ways. The one domain that remains open is, oddly, philosophy: the one that's also the most "absent" (remember what Sternberg said about creative people "buying low and selling high"). I’m not talking about professional philosophy, but philosophy in the sense of living through an open-ended love of learning. I usually call this "creative generalism," "general creativity," "radical creativity," "radical generalism," or whatever I feel like at the time. The name doesn't really matter, as long as I don't fall in love with it and lose sight of the important thing, which is to keep learning, creating, developing, growing... It may not bring any immediate material or social rewards, but who’s asking for them?

Combined progress in other domains has generated a breathtaking supply of material for organizing original "networks of enterprise," through which to generate radically new associations and insights. Meanwhile, the emerging technologies – like the web – that are largely responsible for proliferating the supply of information (and increasing its overall complexity), also provide the tools for reorganizing it more creatively and effectively.

I think that very soon someone will figure out how to put it all together, creating a whole new way of looking at life, to understand it intuitively, and to develop a "new common sense." All this will require is a love of adventure, and a willingness to work hard and invest over the long term. I can’t prove it yet; it’s just a feeling I have...

August 28, 2007

Benefits of bubbles and crunches

The panic surrounding subprime mortgages (among other things) recalls the mess made by the internet- and telecom-bubble in 2000. The comparison is more vivid to me because the former episode occurred at precisely the same moment I finished university – when my real education began. Now another graduation is happening, both in terms of my own education and our approach to investment and doing business in general: lessons learned in the market help to inform and illustrate my more personal lessons.

After I finished school in the spring of 2000 I had plenty of time to digest the financial news and try to understand what was happening. I found more questions than answers, but those questions – questions which I was genuinely interested in, questions which I 'owned' –were what compelled me to pay attention to things in an organized and focused way: to take responsibility for my own education, to make a real investment in ideas. Making that investment requires looking past immediate realities towards the deeper substance, meaning, or qualitiy of events, trying to establish real equity and a foundation for growth. Sometimes answers have to be postponed while we cultivate the ability to ask and answer the right questions -- more effectively, more generatively, more sustainably.

That's what I've spent the past seven years working on; that's what I'm going to begin to explain, using financial investment as a metaphor for intellectual investment. But first, what's going on with the markets right now?

It would be easy to blame the system, but of course the system could be better: the problem is that these crises are caused by circumstances that are so new that the existing ways of doing things just aren’t adequate. What is needed is for the people involved to be continually diligent and responsible for improving the system, to help it evolve with emerging needs. Now who should take responsibility? Everybody? I think we know that won't happen. And if we create another regulatory body, we would just be creating something else that will cause problems that will need to be regulated down the road. We might consider consolidating and centralizing control of the system -- but let’s not forget that the market is already a kind of regulatory body, which is supposed to help us avoid the problems caused by centralized control...

And we can’t just say these problems are about emotions like fear, avarice and greed either – nor even a matter of irrationality. It might be ok to discuss these abstractions in undergraduate philosophy courses, but in practical situations, the only justification for mentioning them is to preface further discussion of particular conditions, causes and consequences. ‘Greed’ is not a real thing, neither is ‘irrationality,’ nor ‘altruism’ for that matter; they have no real existence or efficacy in the world; they are merely abstract ideas that help us distill complex realities. So while certain behaviours and actions, which might be labelled "irrationality" (or fear or greed or whatever), are undoubtedly part of the problem, those labels don’t really tell us much about possible solutions.

A third response to these problems might be to say "it’s a bit of both: part of the problem is the system and part of the problem is the greed and irrationality of individuals," but that too merely opens discussion rather than really solving anything. Of course it’s a bit of both – it probably also involves many other factors that we can’t even perceive.

It hardly matters who or what to blame; what’s important is what we do about the situation. This response expresses the core tacit opinion of all those eminently ‘practical’ people – people of action – who are too busy doing things to waste time thinking and talking about problems. They don’t bother with distractions like articulate and coherent theories – perhaps they believe in solving problems "pragmatically."

I believe in solving problems pragmatically too, but remember that pragmatism was born as a philosophical method. Everything we take for granted as practical, intuitive and spontaneous, was probably at one time the invention of some eccentric, reflective, unpractical thinker. The word "pragmatic" was introduced to our vocabulary by philosophers Charles Peirce and William James – two very unpractical people. (For example, James was educated as an M.D. but had no tolerance for the actual practice of medicine; after drifting for much of his late twenties he went on to become a philosopher – hardly a hero of practicality.)

The pragmatic approach is about ‘doing,’ but it’s equally about explaining and articulating the thing done: making our ideas clear, making action intelligent, finding (or giving) an order to experience, knowledge and society.

It’s a risky venture to stick one’s neck out and speculate on possible solutions; but speculation, adventure and risk-taking are among the most essential qualities of life – they are what make it vital. Wise investors know there is no such thing as a risk-free investment. Ironically, without risk there would be no ownership – by owning something you take a chance that you might lose it or that it’s value might diminish – and with no ownership there would be no stability or security from risk.

Wise investors know how to manage risk. They take chances and they know they will make some mistakes, they know that forces beyond their control may periodically decrease the value of their portfolio; but they learn from their mistakes, and they know that if they invest wisely -- and substantially in real properties and commodities that retains some value, even through the worst periods of recession or inflation -- then the value their estate will continue to rise in the long-term, despite short-term losses and corrections.

It's the same with ideas as it is with money: it isn't wise to go from fad to fad, investing with borrowed wealth; we need long-term vehicles for learning and understanding that retain some of their value when markets lose their footings -- or rather, such long-term enterprises are the stabilizing force that markets need.

I'm referring to both 'knowledge markets' and financial markets: the former is a foundation for the latter, and I'm using the latter as a metaphor for the former.

Wise investors don’t just invest their money, they invest their ideas: someone like Warren Buffet builds up a kind of ‘net wisdom’ to support and maintain his net worth; his financial investments don’t just tell him how well he’s doing financially, they tell him how well his knowledge and principles are performing. When unforseen problems and opportunities emerge, he not only has a great deal of financial capital to support him, he also has support from the 'universal capital' of wisdom. He not only owns his investments, he owns the ideas and principles through which he invests.

Panics like this occur because people don’t have that kind of knowledge capital or wisdom to fall back on. They see the market starting to shift away from their uninformed expectations and realize they didn’t actually know what weaknesses and risks they were exposed to. And they are at risk of losing everything -- everything they never really had in the first place.

At the same time, it's just as much of a mistake not to take speculative risks; the whole system is driven by people taking chances; the whole history of human progress is about people taking chances; and on a more general level, evolution can be interpreted as a process of speculative risk-taking: many species and adaptations fail, while the successful cases build on (or through)failures, becoming increasingly more complex vehicles for growth, more effective and competent investors and problem-solvers.

We might consider that the culmination of that process is human intelligence; but we might also consider that evolution does not end there (here?) or anywhere. Any species that doesn't take risks to extend, multiply and integrate itself into a larger ecosystem -- investing in that ecosystem by creating more complex, and sustainable vehicles for investment and growth -- would soon face extinction: it wouldn’t have established any real equity or integrity in the system, it can't capitalize, it can't use any of the levers provided by its environment.

This is why we must continue to take intellectual chances, speculating and postulating risky ideas, but managing those risks, considering what we might be exposing ourselves to, taking ownership of our ideas and enterprises, being attentive and reactive to changes, looking beyond short-term losses (and short-term gains) towards long-term growth, with confidence that past investments -- both the losers and winners combined -- provide a fairly secure net for us to fall back on.

I took a risk with my personal education, and I'm taking a small risk now by putting these ideas out for public evaluation and criticism. Some of them will certainly turn out to be wrong; but no idea is guaranteed to be right, in the same way that no investment is guaranteed to be profitable; and even the best ideas and investments will sometimes lose.

But never taking any chances is guaranteed not to be profitable: it’s the riskiest and least secure investing style of all.

[Originally posted at thecreativegeneralist.blogspot.com, August 19, 2007]